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Cake day: June 9th, 2023

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  • Currently at a few percent EVs there is a pretty decent charging infrastructure around. There is no reason that would not be the case for combustion engine cars, especially since it has been built already.

    However what we will see is refineries being shut down, as they have to run at at least 80% capacity for technical reasons. So above 20% EV sales starts causing trouble for them. Especially in markets like Europe, where car adoption is not going to go up a lot. Obviously exports are an option as well, but to a limited extend. There are also not that many refineries around. The EU has less then 100 for example.


  • This is generally true. HSR is only really needed to replace long car and plane trips, which are not that common. In daily life regional rail is much more usefull. That combined with local public transport, cycling and walking actually can replace a car. HSR alone can not. Obviously when you built a new line going for hsr is an actually good idea, as it does not cost that much more. But there is a lot of railway infrastructure around already. So adding trains on it for regional rail, electrifying it and so forth would really help. The US is probably the most obvious thanks to having a massive freight rail network, mostly without passenger trains, but a lot of countries have old unused tracks.






  • Most of the lines are used fairly well. Overall ridership of the network was 3.2billion trips last year. It is still growing.

    As for the economics, it is infrastructure, which is going to last for a century or more. It obviously requires upgrades, but having a fast reliable, green form of transport between a countries large cities has a lot of advantages. Not the least are indirect economic advantages. Like for example making business trips easier, but also tourism. That is why Japan, South Korea and Western European countries built hsr as well.

    That also means taking on debt is somewhat sensible, as long as economic growth from the better connections is bigger then the cost of the debt. That is honestly just running the country like a business.











  • We are talking about 128million non White Americans and that is not including white Latinos. Just to put it into context the Holocaust killed 6million Jews, the Partition of India moved 12-20million people and created a lot of suffering doing so and somewhat similar numbers in displaced people in Europe after WW2(moving borders and the like). Those are some of the darkest chapters of human history and this would be an order of magnitude large then those.

    First of all, doing that would create a massive reaction. We are talking 38% of the US population being deported, so a civil war is very much an option.

    The honest answer is that a lot of Americans are very well educated and rather rich. So if they would be allowed to leave, then they would be welcomed by other countries. However we are talking about numbers here, which would compeletly change the housing and job markets here. The locals will not like that and close their countries off. Still a good number would make it. At that point the US has two options: Wage a war to take some land for them or kill them. Taking land would lead to hatred of the Americans including the deported. We are also talking about a massive country here and probably a lot of death. Obviously killing everybody would be even worse. There is also the option of pushing them into say Alaska and make that independent. However that is unlikely.

    The US economy would be absolutly destroyed by this. If you deport them quickly, it would lead to shortages. Most certainly shortage of workers, which would indeed push up wages. Housing would end up being cheap and people would move to the best cities of the country. On the international stage the US would be widely hated and probably be hit with sanctions(they deport a lot of people and that causes huge problems for other countries). So long term it might actually be good for white workers. However the rich would hate it, due to it destroying their cheap workforce. Short term the US would have massive shortages and suffer a lot.

    Even just deporting a larger part of the non-white population would cause a lot of problems.