It feels like theres a bunch of things that are simultaneously heating up, but not boiling over.

1.AI bubble

Honestly I’m wondering if this’ll be a “pop” like 2008 or Dotcom, or if it’ll be more like 1929 where you had the intial crash and then the cascading effects across the economy. But in any case, at this point AI is not going to give many returns, and either start ups will run out of investment money or the larger corporations will cut both ai usage and development, leading to a domino effect from the top down.

  1. Venezualan war

Honestly what the US is doing is both the most and least transparent thing. It’s very obvious the US wants to topple Maduro and the Bolivarian government, but how they intend to is kinda beyond me, since [to my knowledge] they haven’t deployed large enough ground forces for a genuine invasion. Honestly if i had to guess, they might be wanting to go for a Libya/Syria strategy of propping up local rebels, then intervening with non-occupational forces. But when or how this’ll happen, I’m not sure.

3.Taiwan Crisis

We haven’t reached the point of another straight crisis yet, but the US has recently passed and introduced more measures in relation to the rogue government [https://www.congress.gov/bill/119th-congress/house-bill/1512 and https://www.congress.gov/bill/119th-congress/house-bill/3452]. Of course there’s also been the Japanese saber rattling too. Of course these issues have been a thing for a while, but I’m unsure what Japan specifically is getting out of it, and Trump has, as always, been very opaque about the issue.

4.Russia-Europe

The current situation with the SMO seems to be a chicken with its head cut off. It’s walking like it’s alive but there really is no way the situation is going to improve for Europe. But the recent “Russian” drones and technical airspace violations seem to be something that’s trying to reignite tensions. For what? I’m also not sure. A full military intervention seems unlikely, as Europe’s equipment is currently already in Ukrainian hands. A full scale war with Russia [and probably Belarus] would be catastrophic at best and suicidal at worst. If I had to guess, Europe wants to keep pushing austerity and needs nationalist war drums to drown out the noise of german economic collapse and starving British kids.

There’s also the current situation in west Africa [with a military coup in Guinea-Bissau just being reported today] and other things. But really it feels as though the world is stuck, and when something gives, everything else is going to snap to. But idk, I also didn’t get enough sleep last night so maybe I’m just being paranoid

  • Marat@lemmygrad.mlOP
    17·
    7 days ago

    The thing is that Venezuala has a functional and modern military. It’s not the best fighting force in the world, but it’s not Iraq or Syria. Plus the recent activation of people’s militias and it’s certainly not going to go well. Along with the ammunition shortage from supplying Israel and Ukraine

    I guess they’ll just try to occupy the coast and go from there? Or maybe they thought they’d just intimidate Maduro into doing something and now they’re essentially playing a game of chicken against a wall. Idk

    • 201dberg@lemmygrad.ml
      2·
      6 days ago

      They have put themselves in an absolute lose lose situation. They attack Venezuela and they build even more support to Maduro for resisting. Now that they are taking direct action, anyone they could ever try to put into power will be constantly resisted by the people.

      And if they back off? They ALSO build more support for Maduro. There’s nothing they can do that will not make them look weak and build support for Maduro. Nothing. The best they can look for is to just get lucky and pray for a coup or like, a accidental death. But I’m sure Maduro has a whole lineup ready to take on the mantle and keep resisting.

      All they can do is sit out there on their overpriced and under-functional ships and murder innocent fishers, hoping to goad Venezuela into being the aggressors. But even that is failing. lol.

    • rainpizza@lemmygrad.ml
      17·
      7 days ago

      It’s not the best fighting force in the world

      It doesn’t need to be the best in the world. It only needs to be strong enough to repel and defeat Yankee invasions and that’s what the Venezuelans have been preparing for.

      Also, the American myth of military invincibility have been exposed repeatedly throughout these years starting from Yemen to Iran. Venezuela has all of the elements to deliver a bitter defeat to the US and they have been studying from the past experiences available -> https://lemmygrad.ml/post/9714555

      • Marat@lemmygrad.mlOP
        10·
        7 days ago

        I wasn’t saying it had to be, just that it’s not as strong as major powers like China and [to my knowledge] not as all encompassing or experienced as the KPA or Russian armed forces

        • rainpizza@lemmygrad.ml
          7·
          7 days ago

          This article will help a lot to understand my position on Venezuela and why I care very little about comparisons with major powers like China and Russia: https://lemmygrad.ml/post/9892190 . As a brief teaser:

          • Observation of events shows that when they began their aggression against Yemen in 2015, Saudi Arabia and the United States were facing a group of Bedouins in conditions of extreme weakness, in a country that was going through a situation characterized by high levels of poverty and food shortages and that did not have the slightest technological development or weaponry to face countries that were infinitely superior in military terms.

          • The plans outlined the scenario, suggesting that Yemen would be subdued within one to three weeks, and that after its surrender, the country could be seized by Saudi Arabia and the West. This would then allow these countries to control the Bab el-Mandeb Strait, the Indian Ocean, and the Red Sea at their discretion.

          • However, Saudi Arabia and its allies remain mired in a conflict that has now lasted 10 years and which they have been unable to resolve. Under these circumstances, by 2019 the Yemenis had successfully developed an advanced, long-range missile and drone system, obtained with technological assistance and expertise from Iran.

            • rainpizza@lemmygrad.ml
              5·
              6 days ago

              I am not sure what your point is or what exactly are you assuming from my comments(and I hope you explain yourself, CountryBreakfast). However, I will leave this key facts stated:

              • War ALWAYS causes deaths and that is an unavoidable fact. In the case of the Yemenis, it is a giant death toll full of the most vulnerable and that death toll keeps growing to this day due to the Saudis/Israelis onslaught. However, not resisting against the US sponsored Saudis/Israelis will have brought an even worse outcome. The Yemeni resistance and sacrifice is what keeps the worst outcomes to ever happen.
              • This is a war that the imperialists want to have and not the Venezuelans(or the Yemenis during 2015). Unless westerners and everyone in the world pressure the imperialist to not even dream of this war, then wars like this are unavoidable and resistance is key to avoid the worst disasters.
              • I don’t endorse a war with Venezuela. Unless you are a Latam rightoid, nobody in Latam wants this war. The one that wants war in the region with the aim of plundering the Venezuelan’s oil is the US.
              • CountryBreakfast@lemmygrad.ml
                22·
                6 days ago

                Stop making imperialists out to be bumbling fools. Are you Venezuelan? Why don’t you risk YOUR life, why don’t I risk MINE, and we both stop worrying about Latam? It’s always some other calf on the alter while we typetypetype online as if there are no stakes for us.

                • rainpizza@lemmygrad.ml
                  3·
                  5 days ago

                  Stop making imperialists out to be bumbling fools.

                  They are not just fools but are detached from reality(due to filling their circles with sycophants), arrogant and openly nihilistic. Comrades in Lemmygrad have posted plenty of evidence where they have shown this behavior.

                  Are you Venezuelan? Why don’t you risk YOUR life, why don’t I risk MINE, and we both stop worrying about Latam?

                  Look… If your goal with that profiling question and the other ridiculous statement is to look down on me or my comments in this discussion, then I am not interested in responding to you. My opinions are based in analysis done by Venezuelans, Cubans and Nicaraguans so it is not something that came out of my ass. I have shared plenty of posts with those analysis in Lemmygrad.

                  It is your choice if you still want to believe in this fantasy that the imperialist are invencibles gods that no one can oppose even if there is proof that contradicts that fantasy promoted by the imperialist.