The current government was led by the Communist Party of Nepal. Protests claim to be about Nepal trying to limit access to Western social media. Sounds like a Western operation to me.
The current government was led by the Communist Party of Nepal. Protests claim to be about Nepal trying to limit access to Western social media. Sounds like a Western operation to me.
On the other hand, Arnaud Bertrand makes the following counter-arguments to the color revolution theory:
https://xcancel.com/RnaudBertrand/status/1965663406729633903
Basically the idea is that there is little to nothing to gain from orchestrating a color revolution in Nepal because Nepal is too geopolitically irrelevant, borderline ungovernable, and entirely at the mercy of India anyway.
I don’t buy that. There is little to gain, not nothing. There have always been tendrils in these countries that have ties to china/india waiting to assert influence. Personally I wouldn’t call it a color revolution but just opportunism, but that might just be semantics in this case.
Nothing to gain from deposing a government that signed a belt and road deal a few months ago? Nothing to gain by destabilizing a nation sandwiched between the 2 most populous nations on earth just as their relations are getting better? That’s bad analysis.
Even if there is “nothing to gain” the color revolution machine got its funding cut a few months ago. All the little terrorist cells that have been getting that funding are going to lose their jobs. All those little orgs are planning to go out with a bang so they can put it on their resume so they can get an official job at the CIA.
Yeah…i’m not entirely convinced by this line of argumentation either.
I mean he brings up some interesting points in that post but i’m not sure it’s enough to support his conclusion.
Normally his analysis is very good but maybe there is a bit of personal emotional bias at play in this particular case…
Of course, these two things can both be true, but the US-backed color revolutionaries are louder due to their funding. Nepal’s geography sort of dooms it to being a shithole unless China pours a ton of money into it, which they haven’t gotten around to yet.
Thus, this is just like the Hong Kong protests, where some of the protesters were legitimately pissed over high living costs, which was not really a problem caused by the Chinese, but rather the native Hong Kong government. And then the U.S.-backed color revolutionaries stirred it up into way bigger shit by just conducting tons of domestic terrorism.
Once the Nepal-China railway is finished tunneling through the Himalayas, Nepali lives will get better. Let’s just hope that this color revolution doesn’t ruin that opportunity forever.
Oh there are reasons for young Nepalese to protest but how do you go from no protests to burning down people’s homes with them inside in days?
Don’t forget that most people don’t update themselves on Nepal. Most analysis so far has been a run-down of the news headlines and quite a bit of caution. As people investigate in the coming days, we’ll be getting more useful analysis.